Saturday 18 August 2018, 21:00
Stade Gaston-Gérard
Full time
44%
27%
28%
Home win
44.3%
Draw
27.2%
Away win
28.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dijon | 44.3% | 2.26 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.2% | 3.67 | — | — |
| Nantes | 28.5% | 3.51 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.1% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.9% | 12.61 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.4% | 3.94 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 49.0% | 2.04 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 27.1% | 3.69 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.7% | 7.87 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.3% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
| No | 46.5% | 2.15 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dijon / Draw | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Dijon / Nantes | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Nantes | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.9
|
7.5
|
4.7
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.0
|
13.0
|
7.0
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.9
|
9.1
|
5.2
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.9
|
4.5
|
2.6
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.5
|
1.7
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2021
Dijon
0-4
Nantes
Dec 2020
Nantes
1-1
Dijon
Feb 2020
Dijon
3-3
Nantes
Dec 2019
Nantes
1-0
Dijon
May 2019
Nantes
3-0
Dijon
Apr 2018
Nantes
1-1
Dijon
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.