Sunday 6 May 2018, 18:00
Stade Gaston-Gérard
Full time
44%
25%
31%
Home win
43.7%
Draw
24.9%
Away win
31.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dijon | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.9% | 4.01 | — | — |
| Guingamp | 31.4% | 3.19 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.8% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.2% | 19.25 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.0% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.0% | 5.57 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 59.7% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 40.3% | 2.48 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 37.3% | 2.68 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 62.7% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20.0% | 5.00 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 80.0% | 1.25 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
| No | 37.9% | 2.64 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dijon / Draw | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Dijon / Guingamp | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Guingamp | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.2
|
5.7
|
4.5
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
7.0
|
11.4
|
7.6
|
3.5
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.5
|
9.1
|
6.4
|
3.0
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
3.6
|
5.1
|
3.6
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
1.5
|
2.2
|
1.5
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.7
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2019
Guingamp
1-0
Dijon
Dec 2018
Dijon
2-1
Guingamp
Dec 2017
Guingamp
4-0
Dijon
May 2017
Guingamp
4-0
Dijon
Nov 2016
Dijon
3-3
Guingamp
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.