Saturday 14 April 2018, 21:00
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Full time
42%
29%
29%
Home win
42.2%
Draw
28.8%
Away win
28.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.8% | 3.47 | — | — |
| Guingamp | 28.9% | 3.45 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.2% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.8% | 10.22 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 29.9% | 3.34 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 43.2% | 2.31 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 22.3% | 4.49 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.7% | 10.34 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.3% | 1.11 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
| No | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille / Draw | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Lille / Guingamp | 71.2% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Guingamp | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.8
|
8.8
|
5.1
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.3
|
13.7
|
6.9
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.1
|
8.6
|
4.6
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.6
|
3.9
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
1.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2019
Guingamp
0-2
Lille
Aug 2018
Lille
3-0
Guingamp
Sep 2017
Guingamp
1-0
Lille
Apr 2017
Lille
3-0
Guingamp
Oct 2016
Guingamp
1-0
Lille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.