Sunday 26 August 2018, 16:00
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Full time
43%
27%
30%
Home win
43.1%
Draw
26.9%
Away win
30.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | 43.1% | 2.32 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.9% | 3.72 | — | — |
| Guingamp | 30.0% | 3.33 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.7% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.3% | 13.67 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.8% | 4.20 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.9% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.0% | 3.45 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.0% | 7.14 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.0% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55.4% | 1.80 | — | — |
| No | 44.6% | 2.24 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille / Draw | 70.0% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Lille / Guingamp | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Guingamp | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.3
|
7.3
|
4.9
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
9.2
|
12.8
|
7.3
|
3.0
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.4
|
9.1
|
5.5
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
3.7
|
4.5
|
2.8
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.4
|
1.7
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2019
Guingamp
0-2
Lille
Apr 2018
Lille
2-2
Guingamp
Sep 2017
Guingamp
1-0
Lille
Apr 2017
Lille
3-0
Guingamp
Oct 2016
Guingamp
1-0
Lille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.