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Saturday 11 August 2018, 21:00 Stade Pierre-Mauroy Full time
3–1
HT 1–1
33% 30% 37%
Home win
32.7%
Draw
30.3%
Away win
37.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lille 32.7% 3.06
Draw 30.3% 3.30
Rennes 37.1% 2.70

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.7% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.3% 8.84
Over 1.5 66.6% 1.50
Under 1.5 33.4% 2.99
Over 2.5 39.1% 2.56
Under 2.5 60.9% 1.64
Over 3.5 19.1% 5.23
Under 3.5 80.9% 1.24
Over 4.5 7.8% 12.77
Under 4.5 92.2% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.4% 2.16
No 53.6% 1.87

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lille / Draw 62.9% 1.59
Lille / Rennes 69.7% 1.43
Draw / Rennes 67.3% 1.49

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.3
11.5
7.2
2.8
0.8
0.2
1
10.6
14.1
7.8
3.0
0.9
0.2
2
6.2
7.2
4.2
1.6
0.5
0.1
3
2.2
2.6
1.5
0.6
0.2
0.0
4
0.6
0.7
0.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Lille goals. Columns: Rennes goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.