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Saturday 12 May 2018, 22:00 Parc des Princes Full time
79% 15% 6%
Home win
78.7%
Draw
14.9%
Away win
6.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Paris Saint Germain 78.7% 1.27
Draw 14.9% 6.73
Rennes 6.4% 15.54

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.3% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.7% 21.16
Over 1.5 82.5% 1.21
Under 1.5 17.5% 5.71
Over 2.5 60.8% 1.65
Under 2.5 39.2% 2.55
Over 3.5 38.4% 2.60
Under 3.5 61.6% 1.62
Over 4.5 20.9% 4.79
Under 4.5 79.1% 1.26

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.4% 2.36
No 57.6% 1.74

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Paris Saint Germain / Draw 93.6% 1.07
Paris Saint Germain / Rennes 85.1% 1.17
Draw / Rennes 21.3% 4.70

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.7
2.2
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
10.6
7.1
2.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
2
13.9
8.4
2.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
11.7
7.1
2.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
7.4
4.5
1.4
0.3
0.0
0.0
5
3.7
2.3
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Paris Saint Germain goals. Columns: Rennes goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.