Sunday 15 April 2018, 22:00
Parc des Princes
Full time
59%
21%
20%
Home win
59.2%
Draw
21.0%
Away win
19.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.0% | 4.77 | — | — |
| Monaco | 19.8% | 5.05 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.3% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.7% | 26.91 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 86.3% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 13.7% | 7.31 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 66.9% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 33.1% | 3.02 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 26.4% | 3.79 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 63.5% | 1.57 | — | — |
| No | 36.5% | 2.74 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain / Draw | 80.2% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Paris Saint Germain / Monaco | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw / Monaco | 40.8% | 2.45 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.7
|
3.4
|
2.4
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
6.6
|
9.2
|
5.3
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.8
|
9.6
|
5.9
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
5.8
|
7.1
|
4.4
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
3.2
|
3.9
|
2.4
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
1.4
|
1.7
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Paris Saint Germain
1-3
Monaco
Nov 2025
Monaco
1-0
Paris Saint Germain
Feb 2025
Paris Saint Germain
4-1
Monaco
Dec 2024
Monaco
2-4
Paris Saint Germain
Mar 2024
Monaco
0-0
Paris Saint Germain
Nov 2023
Paris Saint Germain
5-2
Monaco
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.