Sunday 18 March 2018, 14:00
Allianz Riviera
Full time
17%
22%
61%
Home win
17.1%
Draw
22.0%
Away win
60.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice | 17.1% | 5.86 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.0% | 4.54 | — | — |
| Paris Saint Germain | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.5% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.5% | 18.32 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.0% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.0% | 5.26 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 35.8% | 2.80 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.8% | 5.31 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
| No | 44.8% | 2.23 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice / Draw | 39.1% | 2.56 | — | — |
| Nice / Paris Saint Germain | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw / Paris Saint Germain | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.5
|
9.3
|
10.1
|
6.8
|
3.5
|
1.4
|
| 1 |
4.2
|
10.4
|
10.0
|
6.7
|
3.4
|
1.4
|
| 2 |
2.4
|
4.8
|
4.9
|
3.3
|
1.7
|
0.7
|
| 3 |
0.8
|
1.6
|
1.6
|
1.1
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Nice
0-4
Paris Saint Germain
Nov 2025
Paris Saint Germain
1-0
Nice
Apr 2025
Paris Saint Germain
1-3
Nice
Oct 2024
Nice
1-1
Paris Saint Germain
May 2024
Nice
1-2
Paris Saint Germain
Sep 2023
Paris Saint Germain
2-3
Nice
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.