Saturday 10 March 2018, 18:00
Parc des Princes
Full time
93%
5%
2%
Home win
92.9%
Draw
5.4%
Away win
1.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain | 92.9% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Draw | 5.4% | 18.57 | — | — |
| Metz | 1.7% | 59.59 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98.7% | 1.01 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 1.3% | 75.64 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 93.7% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 6.3% | 15.94 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 82.0% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 18.1% | 5.54 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 64.7% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 35.3% | 2.83 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39.7% | 2.52 | — | — |
| No | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain / Draw | 98.3% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Paris Saint Germain / Metz | 94.6% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Draw / Metz | 7.1% | 14.16 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
4.5
|
2.5
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
9.1
|
4.7
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
11.9
|
6.1
|
1.6
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
11.7
|
6.0
|
1.6
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
9.2
|
4.7
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Paris Saint Germain
3-0
Metz
Dec 2025
Metz
2-3
Paris Saint Germain
May 2024
Metz
0-2
Paris Saint Germain
Dec 2023
Paris Saint Germain
3-1
Metz
May 2022
Paris Saint Germain
5-0
Metz
Sep 2021
Metz
1-2
Paris Saint Germain
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.