Saturday 3 March 2018, 21:00
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Full time
34%
31%
35%
Home win
34.1%
Draw
30.7%
Away win
35.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metz | 34.1% | 2.93 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.7% | 3.25 | — | — |
| Toulouse | 35.2% | 2.84 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.1% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.9% | 8.41 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 34.7% | 2.88 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 37.7% | 2.65 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 62.3% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 18.1% | 5.54 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 81.9% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.2% | 13.81 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.8% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.3% | 2.21 | — | — |
| No | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metz / Draw | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Metz / Toulouse | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Draw / Toulouse | 65.9% | 1.52 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.9
|
11.5
|
6.8
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
11.3
|
14.2
|
7.4
|
2.8
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
6.6
|
7.3
|
4.1
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.4
|
2.7
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.7
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Metz
3-4
Toulouse
Oct 2025
Toulouse
4-0
Metz
Jan 2024
Metz
0-1
Toulouse
Oct 2023
Toulouse
3-0
Metz
Sep 2019
Metz
2-2
Toulouse
Nov 2017
Toulouse
0-0
Metz
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.