Saturday 24 February 2018, 18:00
Stadium Municipal
Full time
15%
24%
61%
Home win
15.0%
Draw
23.7%
Away win
61.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | 15.0% | 6.66 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.7% | 4.23 | — | — |
| Monaco | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.0% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.0% | 12.42 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.1% | 3.84 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 48.2% | 2.07 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 26.4% | 3.78 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.3% | 8.14 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.7% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
| No | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse / Draw | 38.7% | 2.59 | — | — |
| Toulouse / Monaco | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Monaco | 85.0% | 1.18 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.0
|
12.8
|
12.3
|
7.4
|
3.4
|
1.2
|
| 1 |
5.2
|
11.2
|
9.6
|
5.8
|
2.6
|
1.0
|
| 2 |
2.3
|
4.1
|
3.8
|
2.3
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
0.6
|
1.1
|
1.0
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Toulouse
2-2
Monaco
Oct 2025
Monaco
1-0
Toulouse
Mar 2025
Toulouse
1-1
Monaco
Dec 2024
Monaco
2-0
Toulouse
Feb 2024
Monaco
1-2
Toulouse
Dec 2023
Toulouse
1-2
Monaco
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.