Saturday 3 February 2018, 21:00
Allianz Riviera
Full time
57%
26%
16%
Home win
57.1%
Draw
26.5%
Away win
16.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.5% | 3.78 | — | — |
| Toulouse | 16.5% | 6.08 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.4% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.6% | 9.46 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 67.9% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 32.1% | 3.12 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 40.8% | 2.45 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 20.3% | 4.91 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 79.7% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.5% | 11.71 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.5% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 41.9% | 2.39 | — | — |
| No | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice / Draw | 83.5% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Nice / Toulouse | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Toulouse | 42.9% | 2.33 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.6
|
6.5
|
2.6
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
15.0
|
12.1
|
4.2
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.4
|
9.1
|
3.3
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
6.5
|
4.8
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.6
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Toulouse
5-1
Nice
Aug 2025
Nice
0-1
Toulouse
Feb 2025
Toulouse
1-1
Nice
Aug 2024
Nice
1-1
Toulouse
Mar 2024
Toulouse
2-1
Nice
Nov 2023
Nice
1-0
Toulouse
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.