Wednesday 17 January 2018, 20:00
Stadium Municipal
Full time
38%
34%
28%
Home win
37.8%
Draw
33.8%
Away win
28.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | 37.8% | 2.64 | — | — |
| Draw | 33.8% | 2.96 | — | — |
| Nantes | 28.3% | 3.53 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83.4% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 16.6% | 6.02 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 44.2% | 2.26 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 28.1% | 3.56 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 11.6% | 8.64 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 88.4% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.0% | 25.23 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 96.0% | 1.04 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 36.8% | 2.72 | — | — |
| No | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse / Draw | 71.7% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Toulouse / Nantes | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Draw / Nantes | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
16.6
|
12.4
|
5.5
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
15.2
|
14.1
|
5.6
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.1
|
6.7
|
2.8
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
2.7
|
2.3
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.7
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Sep 2025
Toulouse
2-2
Nantes
Apr 2025
Nantes
0-0
Toulouse
Aug 2024
Toulouse
0-0
Nantes
Feb 2024
Toulouse
1-2
Nantes
Aug 2023
Nantes
1-2
Toulouse
May 2023
Toulouse
0-0
Nantes
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.