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Sunday 14 January 2018, 22:00 Stade de la Beaujoire Full time
15% 23% 63%
Home win
14.5%
Draw
23.0%
Away win
62.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nantes 14.5% 6.89
Draw 23.0% 4.36
Paris Saint Germain 62.5% 1.60

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.5% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.5% 13.26
Over 1.5 75.2% 1.33
Under 1.5 24.8% 4.03
Over 2.5 49.9% 2.00
Under 2.5 50.1% 2.00
Over 3.5 27.9% 3.58
Under 3.5 72.1% 1.39
Over 4.5 13.3% 7.54
Under 4.5 86.7% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.9% 2.13
No 53.1% 1.88

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nantes / Draw 37.5% 2.67
Nantes / Paris Saint Germain 77.0% 1.30
Draw / Paris Saint Germain 85.5% 1.17

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.5
12.4
12.2
7.7
3.6
1.4
1
4.9
10.9
9.7
6.1
2.8
1.1
2
2.2
4.1
3.8
2.4
1.1
0.4
3
0.6
1.1
1.0
0.6
0.3
0.1
4
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Nantes goals. Columns: Paris Saint Germain goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.