Skip to content
Wednesday 29 November 2017, 20:00 Stade de la Beaujoire Full time
1–0
HT 0–0
15% 21% 64%
Home win
14.9%
Draw
21.2%
Away win
64.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nantes 14.9% 6.72
Draw 21.2% 4.72
Monaco 64.0% 1.56

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.5% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.5% 18.04
Over 1.5 80.7% 1.24
Under 1.5 19.3% 5.17
Over 2.5 57.7% 1.73
Under 2.5 42.3% 2.36
Over 3.5 35.3% 2.83
Under 3.5 64.7% 1.55
Over 4.5 18.5% 5.41
Under 4.5 81.5% 1.23

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.0% 1.89
No 47.0% 2.13

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nantes / Draw 36.0% 2.77
Nantes / Monaco 78.8% 1.27
Draw / Monaco 85.1% 1.17

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.5
9.8
10.9
7.6
3.9
1.7
1
4.0
10.0
9.9
6.9
3.6
1.5
2
2.1
4.3
4.5
3.1
1.6
0.7
3
0.6
1.3
1.4
1.0
0.5
0.2
4
0.1
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Nantes goals. Columns: Monaco goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.