Saturday 4 November 2017, 21:00
Stade de la Beaujoire
Full time
40%
34%
27%
Home win
39.5%
Draw
33.9%
Away win
26.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes | 39.5% | 2.53 | — | — |
| Draw | 33.9% | 2.95 | — | — |
| Toulouse | 26.6% | 3.76 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83.1% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 16.9% | 5.91 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 44.8% | 2.23 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 27.6% | 3.62 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 11.3% | 8.87 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 88.7% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.8% | 26.15 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 96.2% | 1.04 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 36.0% | 2.78 | — | — |
| No | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes / Draw | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Nantes / Toulouse | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Draw / Toulouse | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
16.9
|
12.0
|
5.1
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
15.8
|
14.0
|
5.2
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
8.6
|
6.8
|
2.7
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
3.0
|
2.3
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.8
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Sep 2025
Toulouse
2-2
Nantes
Apr 2025
Nantes
0-0
Toulouse
Aug 2024
Toulouse
0-0
Nantes
Feb 2024
Toulouse
1-2
Nantes
Aug 2023
Nantes
1-2
Toulouse
May 2023
Toulouse
0-0
Nantes
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.