Saturday 30 September 2017, 21:00
Stade du Roudourou
Full time
45%
30%
25%
Home win
45.0%
Draw
29.8%
Away win
25.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guingamp | 45.0% | 2.22 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.8% | 3.36 | — | — |
| Toulouse | 25.2% | 3.96 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.4% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.6% | 8.60 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 34.2% | 2.93 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 38.3% | 2.61 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 18.5% | 5.41 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 81.5% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.5% | 13.36 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.5% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.5% | 2.25 | — | — |
| No | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guingamp / Draw | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Guingamp / Toulouse | 70.2% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Draw / Toulouse | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.6
|
9.1
|
4.5
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
13.4
|
13.7
|
5.9
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.3
|
8.5
|
3.9
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
4.1
|
3.7
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.3
|
1.2
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2019
Toulouse
1-0
Guingamp
Sep 2018
Guingamp
1-2
Toulouse
May 2018
Toulouse
2-1
Guingamp
Apr 2017
Guingamp
2-1
Toulouse
Sep 2016
Toulouse
2-1
Guingamp
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.