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Saturday 19 May 2018, 22:00 Stadium Municipal Full time
2–1
HT 0–0
40% 30% 30%
Home win
40.3%
Draw
29.7%
Away win
30.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Toulouse 40.3% 2.48
Draw 29.7% 3.37
Guingamp 30.0% 3.33

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.3% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.7% 9.34
Over 1.5 67.9% 1.47
Under 1.5 32.1% 3.12
Over 2.5 40.7% 2.46
Under 2.5 59.3% 1.69
Over 3.5 20.3% 4.93
Under 3.5 79.7% 1.25
Over 4.5 8.5% 11.77
Under 4.5 91.5% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.4% 2.11
No 52.6% 1.90

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Toulouse / Draw 70.0% 1.43
Toulouse / Guingamp 70.3% 1.42
Draw / Guingamp 59.7% 1.68

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.7
9.6
5.5
1.9
0.5
0.1
1
11.7
13.9
6.9
2.4
0.6
0.1
2
7.9
8.3
4.3
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
3.3
3.5
1.8
0.6
0.2
0.0
4
1.0
1.1
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Toulouse goals. Columns: Guingamp goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.