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Saturday 21 April 2018, 21:00 Stade de Roudourou Full time
3–1
HT 2–0
17% 20% 64%
Home win
16.8%
Draw
19.7%
Away win
63.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Guingamp 16.8% 5.96
Draw 19.7% 5.09
Monaco 63.6% 1.57

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.5% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.5% 28.43
Over 1.5 86.9% 1.15
Under 1.5 13.1% 7.62
Over 2.5 67.9% 1.47
Under 2.5 32.1% 3.11
Over 3.5 46.3% 2.16
Under 3.5 53.7% 1.86
Over 4.5 27.4% 3.65
Under 4.5 72.6% 1.38

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 62.3% 1.61
No 37.7% 2.65

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Guingamp / Draw 36.4% 2.74
Guingamp / Monaco 80.3% 1.24
Draw / Monaco 83.2% 1.20

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.5
6.6
8.3
6.5
3.8
1.8
1
3.0
8.7
9.6
7.5
4.4
2.1
2
2.0
4.7
5.5
4.3
2.5
1.2
3
0.8
1.8
2.1
1.7
1.0
0.5
4
0.2
0.5
0.6
0.5
0.3
0.1
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
Rows: Guingamp goals. Columns: Monaco goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.