Wednesday 25 April 2018, 19:45
Stade Michel d'Ornano
Full time
32%
35%
33%
Home win
32.4%
Draw
34.8%
Away win
32.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen | 32.4% | 3.08 | — | — |
| Draw | 34.8% | 2.88 | — | — |
| Toulouse | 32.8% | 3.05 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 82.3% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 17.7% | 5.64 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 46.2% | 2.17 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 26.3% | 3.80 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 10.5% | 9.52 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 89.5% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.5% | 28.78 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 96.5% | 1.04 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 35.5% | 2.82 | — | — |
| No | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen / Draw | 67.2% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Caen / Toulouse | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Draw / Toulouse | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
17.7
|
14.3
|
6.7
|
2.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
14.2
|
14.2
|
6.0
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
6.6
|
5.9
|
2.6
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
2.0
|
1.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2019
Toulouse
1-1
Caen
Dec 2018
Caen
2-1
Toulouse
Dec 2017
Toulouse
2-0
Caen
May 2017
Toulouse
0-1
Caen
Oct 2016
Caen
1-0
Toulouse
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.