Sunday 1 April 2018, 18:00
Stade Michel d'Ornano
Full time
32%
34%
35%
Home win
31.6%
Draw
33.6%
Away win
34.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen | 31.6% | 3.16 | — | — |
| Draw | 33.6% | 2.98 | — | — |
| Montpellier | 34.8% | 2.87 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 84.0% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 16.0% | 6.24 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 43.1% | 2.32 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 29.2% | 3.43 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 12.2% | 8.18 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 87.8% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.3% | 23.44 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.7% | 1.04 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 38.0% | 2.63 | — | — |
| No | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen / Draw | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Caen / Montpellier | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Draw / Montpellier | 68.4% | 1.46 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
16.0
|
14.0
|
7.2
|
2.3
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
13.1
|
14.3
|
6.5
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
6.3
|
6.1
|
3.0
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
1.9
|
1.9
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2019
Montpellier
2-0
Caen
Sep 2018
Caen
2-2
Montpellier
Aug 2017
Montpellier
1-0
Caen
Apr 2017
Caen
0-2
Montpellier
Oct 2016
Montpellier
3-2
Caen
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.