Wednesday 26 September 2018, 20:00
Stade Michel d'Ornano
Full time
30%
34%
36%
Home win
30.5%
Draw
33.8%
Away win
35.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen | 30.5% | 3.28 | — | — |
| Draw | 33.8% | 2.95 | — | — |
| Montpellier | 35.7% | 2.80 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83.6% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 16.4% | 6.08 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 43.8% | 2.28 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 28.4% | 3.52 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 11.8% | 8.49 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 88.2% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.1% | 24.65 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.9% | 1.04 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 37.3% | 2.68 | — | — |
| No | 62.7% | 1.59 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen / Draw | 64.3% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Caen / Montpellier | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Draw / Montpellier | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
16.4
|
14.5
|
7.4
|
2.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.9
|
14.2
|
6.6
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
6.0
|
5.9
|
2.9
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
1.8
|
1.7
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2019
Montpellier
2-0
Caen
Apr 2018
Caen
1-3
Montpellier
Aug 2017
Montpellier
1-0
Caen
Apr 2017
Caen
0-2
Montpellier
Oct 2016
Montpellier
3-2
Caen
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.