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Saturday 22 September 2018, 21:00 Stade de la Mosson Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
36% 31% 33%
Home win
36.1%
Draw
30.6%
Away win
33.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Montpellier 36.1% 2.77
Draw 30.6% 3.27
Nice 33.3% 3.00

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.3% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.7% 8.55
Over 1.5 65.8% 1.52
Under 1.5 34.2% 2.92
Over 2.5 38.2% 2.62
Under 2.5 61.8% 1.62
Over 3.5 18.4% 5.44
Under 3.5 81.6% 1.23
Over 4.5 7.4% 13.46
Under 4.5 92.6% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.7% 2.19
No 54.3% 1.84

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Montpellier / Draw 66.7% 1.50
Montpellier / Nice 69.4% 1.44
Draw / Nice 63.9% 1.57

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.7
11.0
6.4
2.3
0.6
0.1
1
11.6
14.2
7.2
2.6
0.7
0.2
2
7.0
7.6
4.1
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
2.7
2.9
1.6
0.6
0.2
0.0
4
0.8
0.8
0.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Montpellier goals. Columns: Nice goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.