Friday 31 August 2018, 21:45
Groupama Stadium
Full time
64%
20%
16%
Home win
64.1%
Draw
19.9%
Away win
16.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.9% | 5.02 | — | — |
| Nice | 16.0% | 6.26 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.0% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.0% | 24.98 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 85.3% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 14.7% | 6.81 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 34.8% | 2.87 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 43.2% | 2.32 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 24.8% | 4.04 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
| No | 40.5% | 2.47 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon / Draw | 84.0% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Lyon / Nice | 80.1% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Draw / Nice | 35.9% | 2.79 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.0
|
3.2
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
7.5
|
9.1
|
4.6
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.1
|
9.8
|
5.2
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.9
|
7.4
|
4.0
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
4.0
|
4.2
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.8
|
1.9
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Lyon
2-0
Nice
Oct 2025
Nice
3-2
Lyon
Mar 2025
Nice
0-2
Lyon
Dec 2024
Lyon
4-1
Nice
Feb 2024
Lyon
1-0
Nice
Aug 2023
Nice
0-0
Lyon
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.