Friday 24 August 2018, 21:45
Groupama Stadium
Full time
78%
14%
9%
Home win
77.7%
Draw
13.7%
Away win
8.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw | 13.7% | 7.29 | — | — |
| Strasbourg | 8.6% | 11.62 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.7% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.3% | 42.90 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 90.5% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 9.5% | 10.57 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 74.9% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 25.1% | 3.99 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 45.0% | 2.22 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 35.4% | 2.82 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| No | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon / Draw | 91.4% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Lyon / Strasbourg | 86.3% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Draw / Strasbourg | 22.3% | 4.48 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.3
|
1.6
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
5.6
|
6.0
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
8.8
|
8.3
|
4.0
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
8.7
|
8.2
|
3.9
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
6.4
|
6.1
|
2.9
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.8
|
3.6
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Strasbourg
3-1
Lyon
Oct 2025
Lyon
2-1
Strasbourg
Mar 2025
Strasbourg
4-2
Lyon
Aug 2024
Lyon
4-3
Strasbourg
May 2024
Lyon
2-1
Strasbourg
Aug 2023
Strasbourg
2-1
Lyon
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.