Sunday 6 May 2018, 17:30
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Full time
80%
14%
7%
Home win
79.7%
Draw
13.7%
Away win
6.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon | 79.7% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Draw | 13.7% | 7.32 | — | — |
| Estac Troyes | 6.7% | 15.00 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.6% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.4% | 29.03 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 86.6% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 13.4% | 7.44 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 32.5% | 3.08 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 45.9% | 2.18 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 27.1% | 3.69 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.2% | 2.07 | — | — |
| No | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon / Draw | 93.3% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Lyon / Estac Troyes | 86.3% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Draw / Estac Troyes | 20.3% | 4.92 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.4
|
1.8
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
8.2
|
6.5
|
2.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.8
|
8.4
|
3.0
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.9
|
7.8
|
2.8
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
7.5
|
5.4
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.2
|
3.0
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2023
Estac Troyes
1-3
Lyon
Aug 2022
Lyon
4-1
Estac Troyes
Jan 2022
Estac Troyes
0-1
Lyon
Sep 2021
Lyon
3-1
Estac Troyes
Oct 2017
Estac Troyes
0-5
Lyon
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.