Sunday 8 April 2018, 18:00
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Full time
16%
20%
64%
Home win
16.3%
Draw
19.7%
Away win
64.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metz | 16.3% | 6.15 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.7% | 5.09 | — | — |
| Lyon | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.3% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.7% | 27.20 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 86.4% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 13.6% | 7.33 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 67.0% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 33.0% | 3.03 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 45.2% | 2.21 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 54.8% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 26.5% | 3.78 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| No | 38.8% | 2.57 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metz / Draw | 35.9% | 2.78 | — | — |
| Metz / Lyon | 80.4% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Draw / Lyon | 83.7% | 1.19 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.7
|
6.9
|
8.7
|
6.7
|
3.9
|
1.8
|
| 1 |
3.0
|
8.8
|
9.7
|
7.5
|
4.4
|
2.0
|
| 2 |
2.0
|
4.6
|
5.4
|
4.2
|
2.4
|
1.1
|
| 3 |
0.7
|
1.7
|
2.0
|
1.6
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.5
|
0.6
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Metz
2-5
Lyon
Aug 2025
Lyon
3-0
Metz
Feb 2024
Metz
1-2
Lyon
Nov 2023
Lyon
1-1
Metz
May 2022
Metz
3-2
Lyon
Dec 2021
Lyon
1-1
Metz
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.