Sunday 1 April 2018, 22:00
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Full time
68%
20%
12%
Home win
67.9%
Draw
20.1%
Away win
12.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon | 67.9% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.1% | 4.98 | — | — |
| Toulouse | 12.1% | 8.29 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.1% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.9% | 17.02 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.4% | 4.90 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 43.9% | 2.28 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 33.7% | 2.96 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.3% | 5.77 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.7% | 1.21 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.8% | 2.05 | — | — |
| No | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon / Draw | 87.9% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Lyon / Toulouse | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Draw / Toulouse | 32.1% | 3.11 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.9
|
3.7
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.9
|
9.6
|
3.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.2
|
9.7
|
3.8
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.7
|
6.9
|
2.7
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.7
|
3.7
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.0
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Toulouse
2-1
Lyon
Oct 2025
Lyon
1-2
Toulouse
Jan 2025
Lyon
0-0
Toulouse
Sep 2024
Toulouse
1-2
Lyon
Mar 2024
Toulouse
2-3
Lyon
Dec 2023
Lyon
3-0
Toulouse
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.