Sunday 18 February 2018, 18:00
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Full time
23%
24%
53%
Home win
23.1%
Draw
24.4%
Away win
52.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | 23.1% | 4.33 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.4% | 4.10 | — | — |
| Lyon | 52.5% | 1.90 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.1% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.9% | 16.88 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.1% | 4.96 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 43.6% | 2.29 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 34.0% | 2.94 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 66.0% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.5% | 5.71 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57.3% | 1.74 | — | — |
| No | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille / Draw | 47.5% | 2.11 | — | — |
| Lille / Lyon | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Lyon | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.9
|
8.9
|
8.6
|
5.2
|
2.4
|
0.9
|
| 1 |
5.3
|
11.5
|
9.8
|
5.9
|
2.7
|
1.0
|
| 2 |
3.4
|
6.1
|
5.5
|
3.3
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
| 3 |
1.3
|
2.3
|
2.1
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.7
|
0.6
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Lyon
1-0
Lille
Sep 2025
Lille
0-1
Lyon
Apr 2025
Lyon
2-1
Lille
Nov 2024
Lille
1-1
Lyon
May 2024
Lille
3-4
Lyon
Nov 2023
Lyon
0-2
Lille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.