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Wednesday 17 January 2018, 20:00 Stade Pierre-Mauroy Full time
1–2
HT 1–0
40% 31% 28%
Home win
40.1%
Draw
31.5%
Away win
28.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lille 40.1% 2.49
Draw 31.5% 3.18
Rennes 28.4% 3.52

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.7% 1.15
Under 0.5 13.3% 7.52
Over 1.5 62.3% 1.60
Under 1.5 37.7% 2.65
Over 2.5 34.5% 2.90
Under 2.5 65.5% 1.53
Over 3.5 15.8% 6.34
Under 3.5 84.2% 1.19
Over 4.5 6.0% 16.62
Under 4.5 94.0% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.1% 2.37
No 57.9% 1.73

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lille / Draw 71.6% 1.40
Lille / Rennes 68.5% 1.46
Draw / Rennes 59.9% 1.67

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.3
10.8
5.4
1.7
0.4
0.1
1
13.6
14.1
6.2
1.9
0.4
0.1
2
8.3
7.7
3.6
1.1
0.3
0.0
3
3.2
3.0
1.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.9
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Lille goals. Columns: Rennes goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.