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Wednesday 20 December 2017, 21:50 Stade Louis II Full time
2–1
HT 1–0
80% 14% 6%
Home win
80.2%
Draw
13.6%
Away win
6.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Monaco 80.2% 1.25
Draw 13.6% 7.36
Rennes 6.2% 16.09

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.3% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.7% 26.83
Over 1.5 85.6% 1.17
Under 1.5 14.4% 6.94
Over 2.5 65.9% 1.52
Under 2.5 34.1% 2.93
Over 3.5 44.0% 2.27
Under 3.5 56.0% 1.79
Over 4.5 25.4% 3.93
Under 4.5 74.6% 1.34

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.8% 2.19
No 54.2% 1.84

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Monaco / Draw 93.8% 1.07
Monaco / Rennes 86.4% 1.16
Draw / Rennes 19.8% 5.05

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.7
1.9
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
8.8
6.5
2.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
2
12.5
8.3
2.8
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
11.4
7.6
2.5
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
7.8
5.2
1.7
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
4.2
2.8
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Monaco goals. Columns: Rennes goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.