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Saturday 9 December 2017, 21:00 Stade Saint-Symphorien Full time
1–1
HT 1–0
25% 30% 45%
Home win
24.7%
Draw
30.1%
Away win
45.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Metz 24.7% 4.04
Draw 30.1% 3.32
Rennes 45.1% 2.22

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.8% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.2% 8.21
Over 1.5 64.6% 1.55
Under 1.5 35.4% 2.83
Over 2.5 37.0% 2.71
Under 2.5 63.0% 1.59
Over 3.5 17.5% 5.71
Under 3.5 82.5% 1.21
Over 4.5 6.9% 14.39
Under 4.5 93.1% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.3% 2.31
No 56.7% 1.76

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Metz / Draw 54.9% 1.82
Metz / Rennes 69.9% 1.43
Draw / Rennes 75.3% 1.33

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.2
13.9
9.5
4.1
1.3
0.3
1
9.3
13.7
8.4
3.6
1.2
0.3
2
4.4
5.7
3.7
1.6
0.5
0.1
3
1.3
1.7
1.1
0.5
0.2
0.0
4
0.3
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Metz goals. Columns: Rennes goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.