Sunday 5 November 2017, 18:00
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Full time
34%
31%
35%
Home win
34.2%
Draw
31.1%
Away win
34.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metz | 34.2% | 2.93 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.1% | 3.22 | — | — |
| Lille | 34.7% | 2.88 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.7% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.3% | 8.10 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 35.6% | 2.81 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 36.6% | 2.73 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 17.3% | 5.79 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 82.7% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.8% | 14.66 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.2% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.4% | 2.25 | — | — |
| No | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metz / Draw | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Metz / Lille | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Draw / Lille | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.3
|
11.7
|
6.8
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.6
|
14.3
|
7.3
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
6.7
|
7.2
|
3.9
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.4
|
2.6
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Metz
0-0
Lille
Oct 2025
Lille
6-1
Metz
Apr 2024
Metz
1-2
Lille
Dec 2023
Lille
2-0
Metz
Feb 2022
Lille
0-0
Metz
Aug 2021
Metz
3-3
Lille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.