Saturday 14 October 2017, 21:00
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Full time
63%
24%
13%
Home win
62.9%
Draw
23.8%
Away win
13.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Etienne | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.8% | 4.20 | — | — |
| Metz | 13.3% | 7.53 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.8% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.2% | 10.93 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.9% | 3.46 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 44.6% | 2.24 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 23.4% | 4.27 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 76.6% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.4% | 9.64 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.6% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 41.9% | 2.39 | — | — |
| No | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Etienne / Draw | 86.7% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Saint Etienne / Metz | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Metz | 37.1% | 2.70 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.2
|
5.2
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.5
|
11.0
|
3.6
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.4
|
9.2
|
3.2
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.0
|
5.5
|
1.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.5
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.3
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jun 2024
Metz
2-2
Saint Etienne
May 2024
Saint Etienne
2-1
Metz
Mar 2022
Saint Etienne
1-0
Metz
Oct 2021
Metz
1-1
Saint Etienne
Feb 2021
Saint Etienne
1-0
Metz
Oct 2020
Metz
2-0
Saint Etienne
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.