Saturday 16 September 2017, 21:00
Stade Gaston-Gérard
Full time
38%
30%
32%
Home win
38.4%
Draw
29.8%
Away win
31.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dijon | 38.4% | 2.61 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.8% | 3.36 | — | — |
| Saint Etienne | 31.8% | 3.14 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.3% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.7% | 9.33 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 67.9% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 32.1% | 3.12 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 40.7% | 2.46 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 59.3% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 20.3% | 4.94 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 79.7% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.5% | 11.78 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.5% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.6% | 2.10 | — | — |
| No | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dijon / Draw | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Dijon / Saint Etienne | 70.2% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Draw / Saint Etienne | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.7
|
10.0
|
5.9
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.3
|
14.0
|
7.2
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.4
|
8.1
|
4.4
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.0
|
3.3
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2021
Saint Etienne
0-1
Dijon
Dec 2020
Dijon
0-0
Saint Etienne
Aug 2019
Dijon
1-2
Saint Etienne
Feb 2019
Dijon
0-1
Saint Etienne
Dec 2018
Saint Etienne
3-0
Dijon
Mar 2018
Saint Etienne
2-2
Dijon
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.