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Saturday 19 August 2017, 21:00 Stade Geoffroy-Guichard Full time
55% 30% 16%
Home win
54.8%
Draw
29.6%
Away win
15.6%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Saint Etienne 54.8% 1.83
Draw 29.6% 3.38
Amiens 15.6% 6.41

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.0% 1.18
Under 0.5 15.0% 6.68
Over 1.5 58.6% 1.71
Under 1.5 41.4% 2.42
Over 2.5 30.9% 3.24
Under 2.5 69.1% 1.45
Over 3.5 13.3% 7.50
Under 3.5 86.7% 1.15
Over 4.5 4.8% 20.87
Under 4.5 95.2% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 33.9% 2.95
No 66.1% 1.51

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Saint Etienne / Draw 84.4% 1.19
Saint Etienne / Amiens 70.4% 1.42
Draw / Amiens 45.2% 2.21

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
15.0
7.8
2.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
18.6
12.1
3.4
0.7
0.1
0.0
2
13.1
7.8
2.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
5.9
3.5
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
2.0
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Saint Etienne goals. Columns: Amiens goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.