Sunday 2 September 2018, 16:00
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Full time
43%
32%
26%
Home win
42.6%
Draw
31.6%
Away win
25.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Etienne | 42.6% | 2.35 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.6% | 3.16 | — | — |
| Amiens | 25.8% | 3.87 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86.1% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 13.9% | 7.17 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 39.0% | 2.56 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 33.1% | 3.02 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 66.9% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 14.8% | 6.75 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 85.2% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.5% | 18.09 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.5% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40.5% | 2.47 | — | — |
| No | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Etienne / Draw | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Saint Etienne / Amiens | 68.4% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Draw / Amiens | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
13.9
|
10.4
|
4.8
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.7
|
14.0
|
5.6
|
1.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.1
|
7.8
|
3.3
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
3.6
|
3.0
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.0
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Oct 2019
Saint Etienne
2-2
Amiens
Apr 2019
Amiens
2-2
Saint Etienne
Feb 2018
Amiens
0-2
Saint Etienne
Aug 2017
Saint Etienne
3-0
Amiens
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.