Saturday 19 May 2018, 22:00
Orange Vélodrome
Full time
59%
25%
16%
Home win
59.1%
Draw
24.8%
Away win
16.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.8% | 4.04 | — | — |
| Amiens | 16.2% | 6.19 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.3% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.7% | 11.47 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 27.7% | 3.61 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 24.6% | 4.06 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.1% | 8.98 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.9% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
| No | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille / Draw | 83.8% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Marseille / Amiens | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Amiens | 40.9% | 2.44 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.7
|
5.7
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.3
|
11.7
|
4.3
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.0
|
9.5
|
3.8
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
6.9
|
5.5
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.0
|
2.4
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.0
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2020
Marseille
2-2
Amiens
Oct 2019
Amiens
3-1
Marseille
Feb 2019
Marseille
2-0
Amiens
Nov 2018
Amiens
1-3
Marseille
Sep 2017
Amiens
0-2
Marseille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.