Friday 11 May 2018, 21:45
Stade de Roudourou
Full time
27%
25%
48%
Home win
27.3%
Draw
25.1%
Away win
47.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guingamp | 27.3% | 3.66 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.1% | 3.99 | — | — |
| Marseille | 47.6% | 2.10 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.2% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.8% | 17.27 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.3% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.7% | 5.08 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 43.0% | 2.33 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 34.6% | 2.89 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.0% | 5.56 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.0% | 1.22 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| No | 40.7% | 2.46 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guingamp / Draw | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Guingamp / Marseille | 74.9% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Marseille | 72.7% | 1.38 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.8
|
8.1
|
7.6
|
4.3
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
| 1 |
5.8
|
11.7
|
9.5
|
5.4
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
| 2 |
4.0
|
6.9
|
5.9
|
3.4
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
| 3 |
1.7
|
2.9
|
2.5
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.5
|
0.9
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2019
Guingamp
1-3
Marseille
Sep 2018
Marseille
4-0
Guingamp
Nov 2017
Marseille
1-0
Guingamp
Feb 2017
Marseille
2-0
Guingamp
Aug 2016
Guingamp
2-1
Marseille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.