Sunday 8 April 2018, 22:00
Orange Vélodrome
Full time
62%
23%
15%
Home win
61.7%
Draw
22.9%
Away win
15.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.9% | 4.37 | — | — |
| Montpellier | 15.5% | 6.46 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.0% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.0% | 14.34 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.3% | 4.30 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.0% | 2.08 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.8% | 3.35 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.2% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.5% | 6.87 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.5% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.3% | 2.03 | — | — |
| No | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille / Draw | 84.5% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Marseille / Montpellier | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / Montpellier | 38.3% | 2.61 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.0
|
4.8
|
2.3
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.5
|
10.9
|
4.4
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.6
|
9.8
|
4.2
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.3
|
6.2
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.5
|
3.0
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.3
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2025
Marseille
5-1
Montpellier
Oct 2024
Montpellier
0-5
Marseille
Feb 2024
Marseille
4-1
Montpellier
Dec 2023
Montpellier
1-1
Marseille
Mar 2023
Marseille
1-1
Montpellier
Jan 2023
Montpellier
1-2
Marseille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.