Sunday 4 March 2018, 18:00
Stade de la Mosson
Full time
28%
26%
46%
Home win
28.2%
Draw
26.3%
Away win
45.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier | 28.2% | 3.55 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.3% | 3.80 | — | — |
| Lyon | 45.5% | 2.20 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.1% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.9% | 14.39 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.9% | 4.38 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 47.6% | 2.10 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 30.2% | 3.31 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.8% | 6.74 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.2% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
| No | 43.9% | 2.28 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier / Draw | 54.5% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Montpellier / Lyon | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Lyon | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.9
|
9.2
|
7.8
|
4.1
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
| 1 |
6.8
|
12.5
|
9.3
|
4.9
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
| 2 |
4.5
|
7.0
|
5.6
|
2.9
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
1.8
|
2.8
|
2.2
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.5
|
0.8
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2025
Montpellier
1-4
Lyon
Jan 2025
Lyon
1-0
Montpellier
Feb 2024
Montpellier
1-2
Lyon
Aug 2023
Lyon
1-4
Montpellier
May 2023
Lyon
5-4
Montpellier
Oct 2022
Montpellier
1-2
Lyon
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.