Sunday 4 February 2018, 22:00
Stade Louis II
Full time
65%
18%
17%
Home win
64.6%
Draw
18.3%
Away win
17.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Draw | 18.3% | 5.47 | — | — |
| Lyon | 17.1% | 5.86 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.5% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.5% | 40.58 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 90.4% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 9.6% | 10.41 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 25.5% | 3.92 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 34.9% | 2.86 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 67.7% | 1.48 | — | — |
| No | 32.3% | 3.10 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco / Draw | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Monaco / Lyon | 81.7% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Draw / Lyon | 35.4% | 2.83 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.5
|
2.3
|
1.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
4.9
|
7.3
|
4.5
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
6.9
|
8.9
|
5.8
|
2.5
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
5.9
|
7.7
|
5.0
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
3.8
|
5.0
|
3.2
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
2.0
|
2.6
|
1.7
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Lyon
1-2
Monaco
Jan 2026
Monaco
1-3
Lyon
May 2025
Monaco
2-0
Lyon
Aug 2024
Lyon
0-2
Monaco
Apr 2024
Lyon
3-2
Monaco
Dec 2023
Monaco
0-1
Lyon
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.