Sunday 21 January 2018, 22:00
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Full time
30%
23%
47%
Home win
29.8%
Draw
23.3%
Away win
47.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon | 29.8% | 3.36 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.3% | 4.30 | — | — |
| Paris Saint Germain | 47.0% | 2.13 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.1% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.9% | 25.80 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 86.0% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 14.0% | 7.13 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 33.8% | 2.96 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 44.4% | 2.25 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 25.7% | 3.88 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 66.7% | 1.50 | — | — |
| No | 33.3% | 3.00 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon / Draw | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Lyon / Paris Saint Germain | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / Paris Saint Germain | 70.2% | 1.42 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.9
|
5.8
|
6.1
|
3.9
|
1.8
|
0.7
|
| 1 |
4.4
|
10.0
|
9.1
|
5.8
|
2.8
|
1.1
|
| 2 |
3.7
|
7.1
|
6.8
|
4.3
|
2.1
|
0.8
|
| 3 |
1.8
|
3.5
|
3.4
|
2.2
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
| 4 |
0.7
|
1.3
|
1.3
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Paris Saint Germain
1-2
Lyon
Nov 2025
Lyon
2-3
Paris Saint Germain
Feb 2025
Lyon
2-3
Paris Saint Germain
Dec 2024
Paris Saint Germain
3-1
Lyon
Apr 2024
Paris Saint Germain
4-1
Lyon
Sep 2023
Lyon
1-4
Paris Saint Germain
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.