Sunday 17 December 2017, 22:00
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Full time
54%
22%
24%
Home win
54.2%
Draw
22.0%
Away win
23.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon | 54.2% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.0% | 4.56 | — | — |
| Marseille | 23.9% | 4.19 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.4% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.6% | 27.57 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 86.7% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 13.3% | 7.51 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 32.5% | 3.07 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 45.8% | 2.18 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 54.2% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 27.0% | 3.70 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 66.0% | 1.52 | — | — |
| No | 34.0% | 2.94 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon / Draw | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Lyon / Marseille | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw / Marseille | 45.8% | 2.18 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.6
|
3.7
|
2.9
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
6.0
|
9.4
|
6.1
|
2.8
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.9
|
9.4
|
6.4
|
2.9
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
4.9
|
6.6
|
4.5
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
2.6
|
3.5
|
2.4
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
1.1
|
1.5
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Marseille
3-2
Lyon
Aug 2025
Lyon
1-0
Marseille
Feb 2025
Marseille
3-2
Lyon
Sep 2024
Lyon
2-3
Marseille
Feb 2024
Lyon
1-0
Marseille
Dec 2023
Marseille
3-0
Lyon
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.