Sunday 10 December 2017, 22:00
Orange Vélodrome
Full time
65%
22%
13%
Home win
65.4%
Draw
21.5%
Away win
13.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.5% | 4.65 | — | — |
| Saint Etienne | 13.1% | 7.66 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.2% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.8% | 14.76 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.2% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.8% | 4.38 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 47.4% | 2.11 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 30.4% | 3.29 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.9% | 6.69 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.1% | 1.18 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.4% | 2.11 | — | — |
| No | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille / Draw | 86.9% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Marseille / Saint Etienne | 78.5% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw / Saint Etienne | 34.6% | 2.89 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.8
|
4.2
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.8
|
10.2
|
3.8
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.4
|
9.7
|
3.8
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.3
|
6.5
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.2
|
3.2
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.7
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2025
Marseille
5-1
Saint Etienne
Dec 2024
Saint Etienne
0-2
Marseille
Apr 2022
Saint Etienne
2-4
Marseille
Aug 2021
Marseille
3-1
Saint Etienne
May 2021
Saint Etienne
1-0
Marseille
Sep 2020
Marseille
0-2
Saint Etienne
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.