Sunday 5 November 2017, 22:00
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Full time
33%
27%
41%
Home win
32.7%
Draw
26.7%
Away win
40.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Etienne | 32.7% | 3.05 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.7% | 3.74 | — | — |
| Lyon | 40.5% | 2.47 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.1% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.9% | 14.39 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.2% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.8% | 4.39 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 52.5% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 47.5% | 2.10 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 30.3% | 3.30 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 69.7% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.9% | 6.73 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.1% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| No | 43.2% | 2.32 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Etienne / Draw | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Saint Etienne / Lyon | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Lyon | 67.3% | 1.49 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.9
|
8.5
|
6.8
|
3.3
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
7.4
|
12.7
|
8.8
|
4.3
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
5.3
|
7.8
|
5.7
|
2.8
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
2.3
|
3.4
|
2.5
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.7
|
1.1
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2025
Saint Etienne
2-1
Lyon
Nov 2024
Lyon
1-0
Saint Etienne
Jan 2022
Lyon
1-0
Saint Etienne
Oct 2021
Saint Etienne
1-1
Lyon
Jan 2021
Saint Etienne
0-5
Lyon
Nov 2020
Lyon
2-1
Saint Etienne
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.