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Sunday 1 October 2017, 18:00 Stade Raymond Kopa Full time
3–3
HT 1–3
33% 26% 41%
Home win
32.8%
Draw
26.0%
Away win
41.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Angers 32.8% 3.05
Draw 26.0% 3.84
Lyon 41.2% 2.43

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.8% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.2% 16.16
Over 1.5 79.2% 1.26
Under 1.5 20.8% 4.82
Over 2.5 55.4% 1.80
Under 2.5 44.6% 2.24
Over 3.5 33.1% 3.03
Under 3.5 66.9% 1.49
Over 4.5 16.8% 5.94
Under 4.5 83.2% 1.20

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 59.1% 1.69
No 40.9% 2.44

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Angers / Draw 58.8% 1.70
Angers / Lyon 74.0% 1.35
Draw / Lyon 67.2% 1.49

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.2
7.8
6.6
3.4
1.3
0.4
1
6.8
12.2
8.9
4.6
1.8
0.5
2
5.1
7.8
6.0
3.1
1.2
0.4
3
2.3
3.5
2.7
1.4
0.5
0.2
4
0.8
1.2
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.1
5
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.1
0.0
Rows: Angers goals. Columns: Lyon goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.