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Saturday 19 August 2017, 18:00 Parc Olympique Lyonnais Full time
3–3
HT 2–1
59% 22% 19%
Home win
58.8%
Draw
22.0%
Away win
19.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lyon 58.8% 1.70
Draw 22.0% 4.55
Bordeaux 19.2% 5.20

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.3% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.7% 21.23
Over 1.5 83.3% 1.20
Under 1.5 16.7% 5.97
Over 2.5 61.7% 1.62
Under 2.5 38.3% 2.61
Over 3.5 39.4% 2.54
Under 3.5 60.6% 1.65
Over 4.5 21.7% 4.61
Under 4.5 78.3% 1.28

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 59.3% 1.69
No 40.7% 2.46

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lyon / Draw 80.8% 1.24
Lyon / Bordeaux 78.0% 1.28
Draw / Bordeaux 41.2% 2.43

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.7
4.0
2.6
1.0
0.3
0.1
1
8.0
10.1
5.3
2.0
0.6
0.1
2
8.9
9.9
5.5
2.0
0.6
0.1
3
6.1
6.8
3.8
1.4
0.4
0.1
4
3.2
3.5
2.0
0.7
0.2
0.0
5
1.3
1.5
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Lyon goals. Columns: Bordeaux goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.