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Saturday 20 May 2017, 22:00 Stade du Moustoir Full time
1–1
HT 0–1
30% 26% 44%
Home win
30.2%
Draw
26.2%
Away win
43.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lorient 30.2% 3.31
Draw 26.2% 3.82
Bordeaux 43.6% 2.29

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.4% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.6% 15.18
Over 1.5 78.1% 1.28
Under 1.5 21.9% 4.57
Over 2.5 53.8% 1.86
Under 2.5 46.2% 2.17
Over 3.5 31.5% 3.17
Under 3.5 68.5% 1.46
Over 4.5 15.7% 6.35
Under 4.5 84.3% 1.19

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 57.5% 1.74
No 42.5% 2.35

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lorient / Draw 56.4% 1.77
Lorient / Bordeaux 73.8% 1.36
Draw / Bordeaux 69.8% 1.43

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.6
8.5
7.2
3.8
1.5
0.5
1
6.8
12.4
9.1
4.8
1.9
0.6
2
4.7
7.4
5.8
3.0
1.2
0.4
3
2.0
3.1
2.4
1.3
0.5
0.2
4
0.6
1.0
0.8
0.4
0.2
0.0
5
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Lorient goals. Columns: Bordeaux goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.