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Friday 5 May 2017, 21:45 Stade Geoffroy-Guichard Full time
40% 32% 28%
Home win
40.5%
Draw
31.9%
Away win
27.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Saint Etienne 40.5% 2.47
Draw 31.9% 3.14
Bordeaux 27.7% 3.62

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.1% 1.16
Under 0.5 13.9% 7.18
Over 1.5 61.0% 1.64
Under 1.5 39.0% 2.56
Over 2.5 33.1% 3.02
Under 2.5 66.9% 1.50
Over 3.5 14.8% 6.74
Under 3.5 85.2% 1.17
Over 4.5 5.5% 18.04
Under 4.5 94.5% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.9% 2.44
No 59.1% 1.69

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Saint Etienne / Draw 72.3% 1.38
Saint Etienne / Bordeaux 68.2% 1.47
Draw / Bordeaux 59.5% 1.68

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.9
10.9
5.2
1.6
0.3
0.1
1
14.2
14.1
5.9
1.8
0.4
0.1
2
8.5
7.6
3.4
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
3.2
2.9
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.9
0.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Saint Etienne goals. Columns: Bordeaux goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.